{"id":24843,"date":"2025-11-20T02:49:38","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T02:49:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/20\/bihar-exit-polls-predicted-which-way-the-wind-was-blowing-but-couldnt-gauge-nda-landslide-elections-news\/"},"modified":"2025-11-20T02:49:38","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T02:49:38","slug":"bihar-exit-polls-predicted-which-way-the-wind-was-blowing-but-couldnt-gauge-nda-landslide-elections-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/20\/bihar-exit-polls-predicted-which-way-the-wind-was-blowing-but-couldnt-gauge-nda-landslide-elections-news\/","title":{"rendered":"Bihar Exit Polls Predicted Which Way The Wind Was Blowing, But Couldn’t Gauge NDA Landslide | Elections News"},"content":{"rendered":"


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Last Updated:<\/span>

Trends indicated the ruling alliance was not only crossing the halfway mark of 121 seats in the 243-member assembly but moving comfortably beyond it<\/h2>\n
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\"What<\/p>\n

What seems to have swung the election in the NDA\u2019s favour is the tagline: \u2018Das Hazari Chunaav Hai, Doosri Taraf Katta Sarkar Hai (It is the Rs 10,000 election, it is a lawless government on the other side)\u2019 (PTI)<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

The latest trends in the Bihar election results show the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) at 190 seats, making it clear that most exit polls were directionally correct in forecasting an NDA win in the assembly elections but many underestimated just how sweeping that victory would be.<\/p>\n

Of the 243 seats, News18 Mega Exit Poll predicted that the alliance will bag 140-150 seats, while Dainik Bhaskar had predicted 145-160 seats for the alliance and People\u2019s Pulse had forecast 133-159 seats. Matrize\u2011IANS pegged the number between 147 and 167 seats. Axis My India had a more conservative estimate at just 121-141 seats for the NDA. The most bullish prediction came from Today\u2019s Chanakya, which projected 148-178 seats for the NDA.<\/p>\n

The 190-seat trend so far exceeds the upper projections of almost all major exit polls. Even Chanakya, one of the most optimistic pollsters, capped their NDA prediction at 178\u201412 seats shy of what the counting is now showing in the trends. <\/p>\n

The NDA seemed poised to surpass its ambitious \u201c160 paar” goal in Bihar on Friday, as trends indicated the ruling alliance was not only crossing the halfway mark of 121 seats in the 243-member assembly but moving comfortably beyond it. Meanwhile, the Mahagathbandhan, led by Tejashwi Yadav\u2019s RJD, appeared to be struggling to keep pace.<\/p>\n

What seems to have swung the election in the NDA\u2019s favour is the tagline: \u2018Das Hazari Chunaav Hai, Doosri Taraf Katta Sarkar Hai (It is the Rs 10,000 election, it is a lawless government on the other side)\u2019.<\/p>\n

While the chief minister\u2019s Rs 10,000 scheme for 1.3 crore women strengthened his appeal among female voters, contributing to a record turnout of over 71 per cent, it was the Prime Minister\u2019s rhetoric in election rallies\u2014invoking \u201ckatta, dunali, rangdari” (guns and lawlessness)\u2014that reminded voters of the \u201cjungle raj” that could return if the RJD came back to power. <\/p>\n

The highlight was Nitish Kumar raising the old-age pension for 1.2 crore senior citizens from Rs 400 to Rs 1,100. For the elderly in Bihar, this was seen as a significant gesture from their contemporary, and doubts about the CM\u2019s mental sharpness were largely set aside. Nitish Kumar regained his standing among the public as a \u2018wise, senior leader\u2019 enjoying widespread goodwill.<\/p>\n

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News Desk<\/a><\/p>\n

The News Desk is a team of passionate editors and writers who break and analyse the most important events unfolding in India and abroad. From live updates to exclusive reports to in-depth explainers, the Desk d…Read More<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

The News Desk is a team of passionate editors and writers who break and analyse the most important events unfolding in India and abroad. From live updates to exclusive reports to in-depth explainers, the Desk d… Read More<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

First Published:<\/span><\/p>\n
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November 14, 2025, 12:25 IST<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

News<\/a> elections<\/a> Bihar Exit Polls Predicted Which Way The Wind Was Blowing, But Couldn’t Gauge NDA Landslide<\/span><\/div>\n
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Last Updated:November 14, 2025, 12:32 IST Trends indicated the ruling alliance was not only crossing the halfway mark of 121 seats in the 243-member assembly but moving comfortably beyond it What seems to have swung the election in the NDA\u2019s favour is the tagline: \u2018Das Hazari Chunaav Hai, Doosri Taraf Katta Sarkar Hai (It is…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24844,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24843","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24843"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24843\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24844"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24843"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24843"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tezgyan.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24843"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}